Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.005572 0.006151 0.006778 0.007512 0.008349 0.009277 0.010389
2025-10-05 0.004616 0.005408 0.006335 0.007509 0.008972 0.010754 0.013117
2025-10-12 0.004137 0.005042 0.006157 0.007651 0.009633 0.012220 0.015930
2025-10-19 0.003708 0.004655 0.005868 0.007566 0.009933 0.013200 0.018200
2025-10-26 0.003386 0.004357 0.005641 0.007507 0.010224 0.014162 0.020559
2025-11-02 0.003103 0.004077 0.005400 0.007384 0.010383 0.014926 0.022710
2025-11-09 0.002915 0.003905 0.005285 0.007418 0.010763 0.016052 0.025616
2025-11-16 0.002721 0.003705 0.005109 0.007336 0.010941 0.016866 0.028117
2025-11-23 0.002527 0.003490 0.004889 0.007159 0.010939 0.017366 0.030121
2025-11-30 0.002420 0.003392 0.004835 0.007235 0.011354 0.018632 0.033824
2025-12-07 0.002364 0.003366 0.004886 0.007482 0.012086 0.020566 0.039287
2025-12-14 0.002231 0.003214 0.004726 0.007359 0.012146 0.021238 0.042186
2025-12-21 0.002100 0.003060 0.004562 0.007228 0.012199 0.021955 0.045490
2025-12-28 0.002005 0.002958 0.004475 0.007227 0.012502 0.023242 0.050536
2026-01-04 0.001944 0.002907 0.004466 0.007361 0.013082 0.025207 0.057876
2026-01-11 0.001850 0.002795 0.004347 0.007280 0.013219 0.026216 0.062963
2026-01-18 0.001769 0.002698 0.004246 0.007224 0.013398 0.027352 0.068779
2026-01-25 0.001684 0.002590 0.004120 0.007107 0.013431 0.028145 0.073822
2026-02-01 0.001629 0.002530 0.004072 0.007140 0.013793 0.029810 0.082274
2026-02-08 0.001561 0.002445 0.003974 0.007061 0.013898 0.030838 0.088973
2026-02-15 0.001485 0.002341 0.003837 0.006893 0.013776 0.031250 0.093629
2026-02-22 0.001448 0.002303 0.003817 0.006965 0.014226 0.033306 0.105442
2026-03-01 0.001434 0.002306 0.003874 0.007200 0.015099 0.036753 0.124747